Ural Airlines appears to have confirmed that they are going to attempt to fly the currently-stranded A320 out of the field near Omsk.
Clearly, they’re going to lighten the aircraft as much as possible and ensure it has minimal fuel load. They’re also awaiting landing gear testing results to ensure it’s at least possible without ripping the struts off of the airframe.
But if you think about it, this is a 50/50 risk scenario. You either succeed spectacularly. Or you fail spectacularly.
Spectacular success means that Ural Airlines, the pilots in command, and even Putin will go down as those who took off from a muddy, Siberian field and, in a way, proved that runways are somewhat optional where aircraft are concerned.
But…
Spectacular failure means that the risk was too high and the struts fail, or other parts of the airframe fail, or family of medium-sized moose saunter casually across the field in front of it while on the takeoff-roll, and all of the flight crew dies in a small fireball in the field.
The risk is expected because Russia has a dwindling number of aircraft and no reliable spare parts to ensure the aircraft remain airworthy.
But somewhere there’s a Russian pilot casually (or drunkenly) saying, “Подержи мою водку.”