Hindsight Bias

You cannot know what’s going happen while it’s happening. In literature (or film, or any scripted story) it’s generally predictable. But down here where we live — in real life — the unpredictable cannot be predicted.

A Hindsight Bias is a term used in psychology where one may tend to overestimate their own ability to have predicted an outcome of a scenario that could not possibly have been predicted.

Example, “I knew this would happen!”

No, you didn’t. If you knew it was going to happen, then why were you not prepared and accepting of it happening? Why are you surprised at its occurrence?

More meaningful explanation in the Wiki and some good examples here.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.